While probability predicts future outcomes based on known models, statistics analyzes observed data to infer underlying models.
4. Bayesian vs. Frequentist Statistical Approaches
Frequentists define probability strictly as long-run relative frequency in repeated experiments. Bayesians treat probability as a measure of belief updated dynamically via Bayes' Theorem $P(A|B) = rac{P(B|A)P(A)}{P(B)}$.
5. Descriptive vs. Inferential Statistics
6. Type I and Type II Errors in Hypothesis Testing
Type I Error (α): False Positive (rejecting true null hypothesis). Type II Error (β): False Negative (failing to reject false null hypothesis).
7. Confidence Intervals & Margin of Error
A 95% Confidence Interval for a population mean is $ar{x} pm Z^* left(rac{sigma}{sqrt{n}} ight)$. It means that if we took 100 independent samples, 95 of the calculated intervals would contain the true population mean.
8. Regression Analysis & Correlation Coefficient (r)
Pearson's correlation coefficient $r$ measures the strength and direction of linear relationship between two variables, ranging from $-1.0$ (perfect negative correlation) to $+1.0$ (perfect positive correlation). Remember: correlation does NOT imply causation!
9. P-Values & Statistical Significance
A p-value measures the probability of obtaining test results at least as extreme as observed data, assuming the null hypothesis is true. A threshold of $p < 0.05$ is standard in scientific research.
10. Sampling Methods & Selection Bias
Proper statistical inference requires representative sampling (Simple Random, Stratified, Systemic). Selection bias or non-response bias invalidates statistical models.
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